The Tenth Annual Symposium on Quantitative History
Date(s)
July 13, 2024 - July 14, 2024
Venue
Shanghai Jiao Tong University
July 13, 2024

上海交通大學閔行校區,伍威權堂
English
(英文)
40 mins
10 mins
Time | Session | Chair | Presenter | Institution | Title |
8:00-8:30 | Registration | Albert Wu | |||
8:30-8:50 | Opening Remarks: Zhiwu Chen(Professor, University of Hong Kong ), Qin Jiang(Professor, Shanghai Jiao Tong University) | ||||
8:50-9:40 | Keynote Speech I | Dan Li (李丹) Fudan University (復旦大學) | Stephen Broadberry | University of Oxford (牛津大學) | Innovation and the Great Divergence |
9:40- 10:30 | Hilde De Weerdt (魏希德) | KU. Leuven (魯汶大學) | Rewriting the Social History of Pre-Twentieth-Century Infrastructures | ||
10:30-10:50 | Coffee/Tea Break(茶歇) | ||||
10:50-11:40 | Keynote Speech II | Bingtao Song(宋丙濤)Henan University (河南大學) | Cameron Campbell (康文林) | Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (香港科技大學) | Big Data for the Study of Late Qing Elites: Current Status and Future Prospects |
11:40-12:30 | Tuan Hwee Sng (孫傳煒) | National University of Singapore (新加坡國立大學) | Revisiting Skinner: Counting Counties in Song China | ||
12:30-13:30 | Lunch @ Center for Academic Activities Xin Yuan(學術活動中心二樓馨園) |

(分會場一)
(學術活動中心報告廳A)
Time | Session | Chair | Presenter | Institution | Title | Discussant | Institution |
14:00-14:40 | Session 1:Merchant and Commerce | Ghassan Moazzin (孟嘉升) University of Hong Kong (香港大學) | 1. Wentian Diao (刁文天) | National University of Singapore (新加坡國立大學) | The Rise and Fall of Traditional Banks in Historical China: A Political Economy Explanation | Dan Li (李丹) | Fudan University(復旦大學) |
14:40-15:20 | 2. Kang Yu (余康) | National University of Singapore (新加坡國立大學) | Financing for Singapore’s entrepôt trade: Chinese merchant Pek Sam Choon in the Sino-Southeast tea business, 1927-1936 | Ghassan Moazzin (孟嘉升) | University of Hong Kong (香港大學) | ||
15:20-16:00 | 3. Heqi Cai (蔡河齊) | London School of Economics and Political Science(倫敦政治經濟學院) | The Capacity of Commerce: How the Merchant Groups Shaped Political Resource Redistribution in the Taiping Rebellion | Yu Hao (郝煜) | Peking University(北京大學) | ||
16:00-16:20 | Coffee/Tea Break | ||||||
16:20-17:00 | Session 2:Political Alliance and Persuasion | Manuel Garcia (馬龍) Shanghai Jiao Tong University (上海交通大學) | 1. Sijie Hu (胡思捷) | Renmin University of China (中國人民大學) | Knowledge for Lineage: Queen, Keju and Social Mobility in Tang China | Ying Bai (白營) | The Chinese University of Hong Kong (香港中文大學) |
17:00-17:40 | 2. Ze Hong (洪澤) | University of Macau(澳門大學) | Persuading the Emperors: A Quantitative Historical Analysis of Political Rhetoric in Traditional China | Chengyuan Ji (季程遠) | Shanghai Jiao Tong University (上海交通大學) | ||
17:40-18:20 | 3. Zhihao Xu (徐志浩) | Tsinghua University (清華大學) | Reason for Treason: The Push and Pull Effects of Military Officer Defections in War | Debin Ma (馬德斌) | University of Oxford (牛津大學) |

(分會場二)
(學術活動中心報告廳B)
Time | Session | Chair | Presenter | Institution | Title | Discussant | Institution |
14:00-14:40 | Session 3: Culture, Gender and Inequality | Lingwei Wu(武玲蔚) Fudan University (復旦大學) | 1. Yuchen Lin(林雨晨) | University of Warwick (華威大學) | Coeducation, Female Human Capital, and the Evolution of Gender Norms | Lingwei Wu(武玲蔚) | Fudan University(復旦大學) |
14:40-15:20 | 2. Yifan Zhang(張乙凡) | Toulouse School of Economics (圖盧茲經濟學院) | The Transmission of Son Preference | Cameron Campbell(康文林) | Hong Kong University of Science and Technology(香港科技大學) | ||
15:20-16:00 | 3. Yiling Zhao | Peking University(北京大學) | Catholicism in 1920s China: a re-examination | Chicheng Ma(馬馳騁) | University of Hong Kong(香港大學) | ||
16:00-16:20 | Coffee/Tea Break | ||||||
16:20-17:00 | Session 4: Wages, Taxation and State Capacity | Peiyuan Li(李佩源) Duke Kunshan University (昆山杜克大學) | 1. Ziang Liu (劉紫昂) | University of Hong Kong (香港大學) | Secular decline in modern China? Wage evidence from hydraulic constructions and rural casual work in Suzhou and Shanghai | Jianan Li | Xiamen University (廈門大學) |
17:00-17:40 | 2. Senhao Hu (胡森豪) | University of Hong Kong (香港大學) | The Making of a Hinterland: The Legacy of Horse Raising Policies in North China, 1368-1911 | Hanzhi Deng (鄧涵之) | Fudan University (復旦大學) | ||
17:40-18:20 | 3. Lilac Zihui Zhao (趙紫慧) | Cornell University (康奈爾大學) | Tax on Landowners and Peasant Revolts: Poll Tax, Property Tax and Social Conflicts in China | Peiyuan Li(李佩源) | Duke Kunshan University (昆山杜克大學) |

(分會場三)
(學術活動中心演講廳)
Time | Session | Chair | Presenter | Institution | Title | Discussant | Institution |
14:00-14:40 | Session 5: 人力資本與經濟增長 | Zhijun Chen (陳志俊) Fudan University (復旦大學) | 1. Xin Wang (王鑫) | Yunnan University (雲南大學) | 南渡北歸:穿越戰火的人力資本積累 | Zhijun Chen (陳志俊) | Fudan University (復旦大學) |
14:40-15:20 | 2. Yinyi Jiao (焦銀億) | Shandong University (山東大學) | 能源轉型的人力資本增進效應——基於農村電氣化的研究 | Bingtao Song (宋丙濤) | Henan University(河南大學) | ||
15:20-16:00 | 3. Wanrong Xu (徐萬蓉) | Peking University(北京大學) | 三線建設時期的高等教育佈局調整與區域人力資本積累——來自中國1990年人口普查的證據 | Yi Xu (徐毅) | Guangxi Normal University (廣西師範大學) | ||
16:00-16:20 | Coffee/Tea Break | ||||||
16:20-17:00 | Session 6: 技術進步、市場整合與經濟發展 | Lianhui Zhang (張連輝)Zhongnan University of Economics and Law (中南財經政法大學) | 1. Zhiqiang Wang (王志強) | Peking University(北京大學) | 輪船航運與市場整合:來自晚清中國的證據 | Wentian Diao (刁文天) | National University of Singapore (新加坡國立大學) |
17:00-17:40 | 2. Yongqin Guo (郭永欽) | Guangzhou University (廣州大學) | 公船與私船:17-18世紀東南亞港口市場整合與海上貿易的私人參與 | Zhe Wang(王哲) | Fudan University(復旦大學) | ||
17:40-18:20 | 3. Youhong Lin (林友宏) | Xiamen University (廈門大學) | 政府層級與農業技術推廣:對集體化時期矮杆水稻推廣的考察 | Lianhui Zhang (張連輝) |
Zhongnan University of Economics and Law (中南財經政法大學)
|

(分會場四)
(上海交通大學閔行校區,伍威權堂)
Time | Session | Chair | Presenter | Institution | Title | Discussant | Institution |
14:00-14:40 | Session 7: 職業、遷徙與社會動員 | Bin Xu (徐斌) Shenzhen University (深圳大學) | 1. Ying Dai (代瑩) | University of Cambridge (劍橋大學) | 20世紀長江流域的兼業:專門化、結構變遷與土地制度 | Bin Xu (徐斌) | Shenzhen University (深圳大學) |
14:40-15:20 | 2. Wen Zhang (許志成) | Henan University (河南大學) | 新式教育與共產主義在中國的早期傳播:一個量化分析 | Duancheng Yang (楊端程) | East China University of Political Science and Law (華東政法大學) | ||
15:20-16:00 | 3. Yuan Xu (許元) | Renmin University of China (中國人民大學) | Endemic Disease and Rural-Urban Migration | Ming Wang(王明) | Nanjing University(南京大學) | ||
16:00-16:20 | Coffee/Tea Break | ||||||
16:20-17:00 | Session 8: 儒學發展與社會結構 | Yi Xu (徐毅)Guangxi Normal University (廣西師範大學) | 1. Xiao Lei (雷霄) | Zhejiang University(浙江大學) | 理念如何塑造社會結構?南宋的理學與精英地方化 | Nan Li (李楠) | Fudan University (復旦大學) |
17:00-17:40 | 2. Yuxin Liu (劉鈺昕) | Northwest University (西北大學) | 清代(1644-1912)學術交流的新視角:聚類方法與江南學術共同體的再識別 | Zhengzhen Du (杜正貞) | Zhejiang University (浙江大學) | ||
17:40-18:20 | 3. Yitong Wang(王伊彤) | Nankai University(南開大學) | 儒學發展、性別規範與女性教育——基於明末清初的證據 | Chen Liang (梁晨) | Nanjing University(南京大學) | ||
18:20-19:00 | Dinner @ Center for Academic Activities Xin | ||||||
19:00-21:30 | The 10th Anniversary Celebrations @ Center for Academic |
July 14, 2024

(上海交通大學閔行校區,伍威權堂(上院100號))
Chinese
(中文)
40 mins
10 mins
Time | Session | Chair | Presenter | Institution | Title | |
08:30-08:40 | Launch of the 8th Project on Great Wall of (用友基金會第八屆“商的長城”專案發佈) | |||||
08:40-09:30 | Keynote Speech III | Lizhi Song(宋麗智) Zhongnan University of Economics and Law (中南財經政法大學) | Ping He (何平) | Renmin University of China (中國人民大學) | 中國經濟史研究中數目字觀念的普適性與量化史學的邊界 | |
09:30-10:20 | Denggao Long (龍登高) | Tsinghua University (清華大學) | 從土地到資料的產權理論拓展:要素佔有權 | |||
10:20-10:40 | Coffee/Tea Break | |||||
10:40-11:30 | Keynote Speech IV | Yuda Yang (楊煜達)Fudan University (復旦大學) | Debin Ma (馬德斌) | University of Oxford (牛津大學) | State Capacity in Imperial China – Quantifying a Millennium of Public Finance (997-1911 AD) | |
11:30-12:20 | Zhiwu Chen (陳志武) | University of Hong Kong (香港大學) | Maritime Trade and the Rise of China’s South, 700-2010 CE(海洋貿易與中國南方的崛起) | |||
12:20-13:30 | Lunch @ Center for Academic Activities Xin |

(分會場一)
(學術活動中心報告廳A)
Time | Session | Chair | Presenter | Institution | Title | Discussant | Institution |
14:00-14:40 | Session 9: Knowledge Production, Innovation and Entrepreneurship | Yongqin Wang (王永欽) Fudan University (復旦大學)
| 1. Duan Li (段理) | University of Hong Kong (香港大學) | Charting the Needham Puzzle: A Long-Term Perspective on Book Writing in China | Hilde De Weerdt (魏希德) | KU. Leuven (魯汶大學) |
14:40-15:20 | 2. Xuebo Wang (王學博) | Shanghai University of Finance and Economics (上海財經大學) | Freedom of Speech, Spirit of Innovation, and Long-term Economic Development: Evidence from the Qing Dynasty of China | Yongqin Wang (王永欽) | Fudan University (復旦大學) | ||
15:20-16:00 | 3. Song Yuan (袁松) | Zhejiang University (浙江大學) | The Cultural Origins of Family Firms | Sijie Hu (胡思捷) | Renmin University of China (中國人民大學) | ||
16:00-16:20 | Coffee/Tea Break | ||||||
16:20-17:00 | Session 10: National Transformation, Judiciary, and Economic Development
| Jie Chen (陳劼) ShanghaiTech University (上海科技大學) | 1. Mingxi Li (李明曦) | East China University of Science and Technology (華東理工大學) | Transportation, Decentralization, and Path Dependence: How did the Old Tramway Shape Shanghai, China? | Hao Feng(馮皓) | Shanghai University of International Business and Economics (上海對外經貿大學) |
17:00-17:40 | 2. Jianan Lu (盧佳男) | University of Portsmouth (朴茨茅斯大學) | The long shadow of the wall: Household financial decision-making as a legacy of German Separation | Jie Chen (陳劼) | ShanghaiTech University (上海科技大學) | ||
17:40-18:20 | 3. Ke Kang (康可) | University of Hong Kong (香港大學) | Chinese-Foreigners Disputes and the Emergence of Judicial Autonomy in Historical China | Lei Shi (石磊) | Shanghai Jiao Tong University (上海交通大學) |

(分會場二)
(學術活動中心報告廳B)
Time | Session | Chair | Presenter | Institution | Title | Discussant | Institution |
14:00-14:40 | Session 11: Early History and Long Term Development | Yuxin Chen (陳雨新) Renmin University of China (中國人民大學) | 1. Wanda Wang (王萬達) | University of Hong Kong (香港大學) | Persistence, Shocks, and Reversal: Evidence from China since the Neolithic Revolution, 5000 BCE–2000 | Tuan Hwee Sng (孫傳煒) | National University of Singapore (新加坡國立大學) |
14:40-15:20 | 2.Dandan Li (李丹丹) | The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen (香港中文大學(深圳)) | Was Traditional Chinese Medicine Useful Evidence from a Chinese clan, 1216-1834 | Zhiwu Chen(陳志武) | University of Hong Kong (香港大學) | ||
15:20-16:00 | 3. Yuqi Chen (陳鈺琪) | Peking University (北京大學) | Waves of Social Changes: A Quantitative Analysis of Ritual Bronzes in Early China | Yuxin Chen (陳雨新) | Renmin University of China (中國人民大學) | ||
16:00-16:20 | Coffee/Tea Break | ||||||
16:20-17:00 | Session 12: 賦稅、統治者行為與暴力 | Ying Bai (白營) The Chinese University of Hong Kong (香港中文大學) | 1. Tianyi Sun (孫天翊) | Central University of Finance and Economics (中央財經大學) | 傳統中國的均平賦稅改革與社會穩定——以北宋方田均稅法為例 | Guanglin Liu (劉光臨) | Lingnan University (嶺南大學) |
17:00-17:40 | 2. Ming Wang (王明) | Nanjing University (南京大學) | Remedy through Revolts: Ruler’s Predation and Collective Violence | Huiwen Li(李輝文) | Shanghai University of International Business and Economics (上海對外經貿大學) | ||
17:40-18:20 | 3. Yibo Zuo (左毅博) | Jinan University (暨南大學) | The Butterfly Effect: Overseas Chinese, the Chinese Exclusion Act, and Rebellions in Pre-Modern China | Zhihao Xu (徐志浩) | Tsinghua University (清華大學) |

(分會場三)
(學術活動中心演講廳)
Time | Session | Chair | Presenter | Institution | Title | Discussant | Institution | ||
14:00-14:40 | Session 13: 衝擊、治理與市場 | Siyuan Zhao (趙思淵) Shanghai Jiao Tong University (上海交通大學) | 1. Tianyu Huang (黃天宇) | Guangxi University (廣西大學) | 治理方式轉變與市場整合:基於清代西南地區“改土歸流”的歷史經驗證據 | Siyuan Zhao(趙思淵) | Shanghai Jiao Tong University (上海交通大學) | ||
14:40-15:20 | 2. Yuke Zhu (朱玉珂) | Shanghai University of Finance and Economics (上海財經大學) | 貿易衝擊、國內市場與社會治理——基於晚清外銷茶葉改道的研究 | Shijun He (何石軍) | Wuhan University (武漢大學) | ||||
15:20-16:00 | 3. Yang Cai (蔡楊) | Renmin University of China (中國人民大學) | Meritocracy under Economic Shocks: The Impact on the Selection of Bureaucrats | Xiaoming Zhang (張曉鳴) | Zhejiang University (浙江大學) | ||||
16:00-16:20 | Coffee/Tea Break | ||||||||
16:20-17:00 | Session 14: 斯密式增長 | Weipeng Yuan (袁為鵬) Shanghai Jiao Tong University (上海交通大學) | 1. Jianan Li (李嘉楠) | Xiamen University (廈門大學) | 中國的市場經濟傳統與分工:基於全國物產資料的“斯密型增長”再討論 | Jinwu Xiong (熊金武) | China University of Political Science and Law (中國政法大學) | ||
17:00-17:40 | 2. Daoyuan Hong (洪道遠) | HenanUniversity (河南大學) | 江淮大水下的農村借貸市場——基於卜凱調查農戶資料的分析 | Weipeng Yuan (袁為鵬) | Shanghai Jiao Tong University (上海交通大學) | ||||
17:40-18:20 | 3. Jiewen Hu (胡傑文) | Hong Kong Baptist University (香港浸會大學) | 計算與互助:晚清石倉的肉店經營與豬肉流通 | Kaixiang Peng (彭凱翔) | Wuhan University (武漢大學) |

(分會場四)
(上海交通大學閔行校區,伍威權堂)
Time | Session | Chair | Presenter | Institution | Title | Discussant | Institution | ||
14:00-14:40 | Session 15: 文化、文明與長期影響 | Pengsheng Chiu (邱澎生) Shanghai Jiao Tong University (上海交通大學) | 1. Huan Yang (楊嬛) | Shanghai University of Finance and Economics (上海財經大學) | The Origin of Land Preference Culture: Land Scarcity in History and Household Real Estate Investment Today | Youhong Lin(林友宏) | Xiamen University (廈門大學) | ||
14:40-15:20 | 2. Yanxiu Jin (金秀妍) | University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (中國社會科學院大學) | 彩陶紋飾個體特徵研究——基於多元統計與卷積神經網路分析 | Minghao Lin(林明昊) | Shanghai Jiao Tong University (上海交通大學) | ||||
15:20-16:00 | 3. Yuchen Wei (魏宇辰) | University of Hong Kong (香港大學) | The Impact of Long–Term Orientation Traits on Earnings Management: Evidence from China’s Civil Examination System (keju ) | Huan Yang (楊嬛) | Shanghai University of Finance and Economics (上海財經大學) | ||||
16:00-16:20 | Coffee/Tea Break | ||||||||
16:20-17:00 | Session 16: 金融發展與社會資本 | Shuji Cao (曹樹基) Shanghai Jiao Tong University (上海交通大學) | 1. Yajie Wang (王亞傑) | Fudan University (復旦大學) | 民國時期上海金融市場間的溢出效應研究——基於外匯、貨幣和債券市場 | Hongzhong Yan (燕紅忠) | Shanghai University of Finance and Economics (上海財經大學) | ||
17:00-17:40 | 2. Weiwei He (賀嵬嵬) | Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics (江西財經大學) | 惡魔的陰影:“豬仔”貿易對社會資本的長期影響 | Denggao Long (龍登高) | Tsinghua University (清華大學) | ||||
17:40-18:20 | 3. Zhenyu Luo (羅震宇) | Tsinghua University (清華大學) | 人口結構衝擊與儲蓄發展 | Xi Qu (瞿茜) | Shanghai Jiao Tong University (上海交通大學) | ||||
18:20 (Dinner Speech) | 14 July 2024, Keynote Speeches | ||||||||
19:00-20:00 | Keynote Speech V | Chenglin Zheng (鄭成林) Central China Normal University (華中師範大學) | Shuji Cao (曹樹基) | Shanghai Jiao Tong University (上海交通大學) | 從帝制到新中國:膠東地區的農業稅率及其演變 |